Hand-in-hand with the accelerated
development in the size of long-haul
container vessels must come changes in
the structure, design and deployment of
the feedership fleet. According to David
Tozer, Lloyd's Register's Business
Manager for Container Ships, some
1,300 new vessels will be required to
accommodate anticipated cargo growth
in the feeder trades up to 2012. The cal-
culation is based on projections of a
doubling in trade volume in feeder and
intra-regional operations during the
period 2002-2012.
Moreover, around 600 newbuilds will
also be needed to replace existing ton-
nage over the same timeframe, suggest-
ing a total demand in the order of 1,900
ships. Assumptions regarding fleet
renewal stem from an analysis which
indicated that up to 40 percent of feeder-
ships worldwide were at least 15 years
old, suggesting that much of the tonnage
involved would be removed from the
market by 2010.
For 1,900 or so vessels to be intro-
duced into service by 2012 would neces-
sitate an annual infusion of newbuilds at
a rate well in excess of current levels. In
the opening edition of Container Ship
Focus, a technical publication produced
by LR, Tozer is reported as taking the
view that the lack of efficient, modern
feeder tonnage poses a major threat to
the container sector, and could potential-
ly compromise the industry's investment
in new, large post-panamax capacity.
"There is a clear need for modern
feeder designs which are flexible yet tar-
geted, but so far there is little evidence
that this opportunity has been realized,
and few orders have been placed," said
Tozer. LR, in association with Ocean
Shipping Consultants, has identified a
range of feeder designs, each optimized
for a particular trading region. Tozer is
of the view that the feeder trades could
potentially become one of the most
important sectors for the container
industry. "But to date there has been a
failure to recognize the scale of the
future demand. Without proper invest-
ment, the lack of capacity could con-
strain demand and adversely impact on
deepsea vessel economics," he said.
Recent figures have indicated that
around half of all newbuild boxship
capacity on order or under construction
entails vessels of more than 6,000-TEU.
For sure, the overall containership
orderbook does have the appearance of
being out of balance, with its capacity
orientation to a large number of very
large vessels. Investment in smaller box-
ships and feeders has been at a marked-
ly lower level, to the extent that a seri-
ous demand scenario has developed at
the lower end of the size spectrum.
32 Maritime Reporter & Engineering News
spare parts procurement. In examining the case for perpetuating the single-engine
solution beloved of the deepsea containership industry, the study team found that the
output of a 14-cylinder diesel would be insufficient to achieve the specified speed,
while a 16-cylinder engine was considered too large. Moreover, HHI deems that the
maximum, practical size of propeller has been reached, at a diameter of 9.5-m and
weight of 110-tons. A single-screw system for the conceptual vessel of 13,000-TEU
would call for a propeller of a size, it was suggested, that would involve a great risk
of cavitation. Furthermore, the extremely high power transmitted by a single shaft
was also felt to represent a risk. The proposed new behemoth would also denote a
departure from standard technical design by virtue of the arrangement of the deck-
house in the forward part of the ship, rather than surmounting the engine room.
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Investment in Design
LR: 1,900 New Containerships by 2012
Size comparison of container ships. The separation of deckhouse
and engine room is clearly recognizable for the 13,000 TEU ship.
Circle 210 on Reader Service Card
Circle 212 on Reader Service Card
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